Cycle Exit
Risk: MediumHow It Works
You hold all mined coins until the next major bull market cycle peak, typically 5-10× from bear market lows. Crypto follows roughly 4-year cycles tied to Bitcoin halvings. The next halving is expected around April 2028.
Advantages
- ✓ Captures the full bull market rally (historically 5-50× from lows)
- ✓ Simple strategy — just hold and wait
- ✓ Maximum coin accumulation during cheap bear market periods
- ✓ Proven across multiple 4-year Bitcoin cycles
Drawbacks
- ⚠ No income during accumulation phase (2-3 years)
- ⚠ Must cover electricity costs from other sources
- ⚠ Risk of selling too late if cycle timing is wrong
- ⚠ Requires strong conviction to hold through volatility
Best For
Miners with free or very cheap electricity (solar, excess capacity) who do not need mining revenue to cover costs.
Example Scenario
Historical Cycle Exits:
• RVN: $0.01 (2020 bear) → $0.28 (2021 peak) = 28× return
• ETC: $3.5 (2020 bear) → $176 (2021 peak) = 50× return
• ERG: $0.5 (2020 bear) → $18 (2021 peak) = 36× return